Democrat Chasity Verret Martinez just crushed her Republican opponent by 24 points in a Louisiana state House race—in a district Donald Trump won by 13 points just last year.
Let that sink in. That’s a 37-point swing away from Republicans.
WHAT’S GOING ON: Martinez, a former Iberville Parish councilwoman, won 62% of the vote compared to Republican Brad Daigle’s 38% in Saturday’s special election, according to CBS News. The seat opened up after the previous Democratic representative was appointed by Republican Gov. Jeff Landry to be a commissioner for the state’s Department of Alcohol & Tobacco.
Here’s the kicker: Republicans outspent Martinez 3-to-1. They saw this as a prime pickup opportunity. They poured resources into a district Trump had won three times. And they got absolutely demolished.
THE DETAILS: This isn’t an isolated incident. Last week, Democrat Taylor Rehmet flipped a Texas state Senate seat in Tarrant County—the largest Republican county in the entire country—a seat the GOP had held for over 40 years. Trump won that district by 17 points in 2024. Rehmet won by 14.
The numbers don’t lie: Democrats have now flipped eight previously Republican-held districts in special elections since Trump took office in January. Republicans? Zero pickups. Not one.
OF COURSE: Martinez ran on kitchen-table issues—affordability and local concerns—while Republicans apparently assumed Trump’s name recognition would do the heavy lifting. The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee didn’t mince words, saying Republicans “squandered their first flip opportunity in an election they should’ve had in the bag.”
DNC Chair Ken Martin piled on, noting Martinez “ran an exceptional campaign focused on solutions to the issues that families care most about, from the rising costs of basic goods and essentials to the dozens of rural hospitals in Louisiana at-risk of closure.”
WHY IT MATTERS: Special elections are often dismissed as local oddities, but eight flips in a row isn’t a fluke—it’s a pattern. Voters in Trump country are showing up to reject Republican candidates when given the chance, even while being massively outspent.
The MAGA coalition that delivered Trump the White House is showing serious cracks at the state level. And with midterms on the horizon, Republicans banking on Trump’s coattails might want to start sweating.
